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The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.If Trump wants to curb inflation, the first thing to do is to build more houses. If Trump wants to push down inflation in the United States to a more tolerable level, he needs housing costs to help him. In this regard, the influence of the Federal Reserve is limited. It is unclear whether inflation will return to the Fed's 2% target in a sustained and convincing manner, at least not until housing inflation is further eased. In October, the national average rent in the United States was $209 per month, slightly lower than that in September, but still higher than the same period last year by 3.3%. Lisa Studt Vanter, chief economist of Bright MLS, said, "It is expected that with the passage of time, we will start to see the year-on-year rent growth slow down, but it just feels like it will take a long time. Some measures proposed by Trump will lead to rising inflation. Compared with six months ago, the prospect of continuing to move towards 2% is less certain. Aiming at the housing supply problem is something that the federal government can do meaningfully. Of course, this is not something that can be done in the short term. "South Korea's National Assembly passed "Yin Xiyue's General Special Inspection Law" and "Jin Jianxit's Inspection Law". The reporter of the General Station was informed that on the 12th local time, South Korea's National Assembly held a general meeting of parliamentarians and passed "Yin Xiyue's General Special Inspection Law" and "Jin Jianxit's Inspection Law". (CCTV News)

Nordic United Bank: The risk of the European Central Bank cutting interest rates by 50 basis points cannot be ignored. Nordic United Bank said that the European Central Bank may cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, but there is also a significant risk of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. The differences within the Committee have intensified again, and it is not easy for Lagarde to get another consistent compromise. A possible compromise is to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and at the same time, some guidelines are given, indicating that as long as the ECB's benchmark view remains unchanged, it may cut interest rates again in January. Our benchmark expectation is still to cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the meeting in April next year, when the deposit interest rate is expected to reach 2.25%.Zhu Min, former vice president of IMF: Domestic consumption, manufacturing and green transformation will become the growth drivers of China's economy. Recently, at the China 2024 Annual Meeting and the 22nd Financial Billboard, Zhu Min, former vice president of China International Economic Exchange Center, said that one of the three traditional locomotives of China's economic growth is infrastructure investment; The second is the real estate industry, and the third is export. The transformation of the whole economic structure needs a new growth impetus. Zhu Min said that this new growth driver is, first, based on domestic consumption, and second, insisting on doing a good job in domestic manufacturing and doing high technology; The third is green transformation. We will continue to take the road of sustainable development of green transformation in China and improve our core competitiveness.The 2.53 billion shares held by Greenland Group have been frozen. According to the legal litigation information of Tianyancha, recently, Guangxi Construction Engineering Group Co., Ltd. added a piece of information on the freezing of shares. The executor is Greenland Holding Group Co., Ltd., and the amount of frozen shares is about 2.53 billion RMB. The freezing period is from December 9, 2024 to December 8, 2027. The enforcement court is Wanzhou District People's Court in Chongqing.

Qianjin Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.: The subsidiary company obtained the dapoxetine hydrochloride Pharmaceutical Registration Certificate, and Qianjin Pharmaceutical announced that Qianjin Xiangjiang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. received the dapoxetine hydrochloride Pharmaceutical Registration Certificate approved and issued by National Medical Products Administration. The medicine is suitable for the treatment of male premature ejaculation patients aged 18 to 64.Schlegel, Governor of the Swiss National Bank: It aims to stabilize the inflation rate at 0-2%. We can tolerate inflation temporarily below the target range of 0-2%.Foreign media: The Italian neo-Nazi organization planned to assassinate the Prime Minister, which was foiled by the police. According to the British "Daily Telegraph" reported on the 11th, an Italian neo-Nazi organization was accused of planning to assassinate Prime Minister Giorgiya meloni and World Economic Forum President klaus schwab, and the assassination plot was foiled by the police. The report quoted local media as saying that last week, the police carried out raids in various parts of Italy, arrested 12 people suspected of participating in the far-right organization, and seized a batch of knives, military clothing and propaganda materials. The organization originally called itself "Wolf Division" and later renamed it "New Dawn Division". The police said that some suspects arrested called meloni a "fascist who persecuted fascists" and had planned to assassinate her since 2023. (Global Times)